Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Alaves 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 54% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 46%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.18 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 0.33 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves?
Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 42%, draw 32%, Deportivo Alaves 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.