Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 38%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.85/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.12
-35% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samgurali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
03.08.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
20.04.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
02.03.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
29.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
25.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
2-1
AWAY Samgurali
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi edged past Samgurali 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Tbilisi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 43% of the ball to Samgurali's 57%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 35%, draw 34%, Samgurali 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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