Galway United 2-2 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 Mar 2026

Galway United
2-2 HT 0-1
Dundalk
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2026

Galway United vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.31
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.97
X/2
10%
6.25
X/X
9%
4.06
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.71
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galway United v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.56/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.17
-20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.1 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1

Galway United vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dundalk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 1.04
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
140 Passes 318
55% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
02.08.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-2 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
24.05.2024 Galway United Galway United 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
23.02.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-2 HT 0-2 Galway United Galway United İRL
15.09.2023 Galway United Galway United 4-0 HT 4-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
27.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 3-4 HT 1-3 Dundalk Dundalk İRL

Galway United 2-2 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
2-2
AWAY Dundalk
0.93 xG 0.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
140 Passes 212
50% Pass Accuracy 56%
17 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United and Dundalk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Galway United had 43% of the ball to Dundalk's 57%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.93 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Galway United and 0.83 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Dundalk?

Galway United 2-2 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Galway United 43%, draw 26%, Dundalk 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galway United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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