Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.88
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.63
X/2
6%
6.93
X/X
13%
4.33
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
12%
5.36
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.03/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.35
-3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
18.2 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Derry City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.81 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
415 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.01.2026 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRSK
26.10.2025 Derry City Derry City 2-1 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
03.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
23.05.2025 Derry City Derry City 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
28.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
20.09.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-0
AWAY Derry City
1.41 xG 0.35
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 7
488 Passes 160
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Shamrock Rovers edged past Derry City 1-0 in the Ireland - Premier League on 6 Mar 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 70% of the ball to Derry City's 30%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.35.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.83 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?

Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 50%, draw 24%, Derry City 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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