Shamrock Rovers 0-1 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cumhurbaskanligi Cup, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 33%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+92% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Derry City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
413 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Derry City Derry City 2-1 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
03.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
23.05.2025 Derry City Derry City 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
28.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
20.09.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
20.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
0-1
AWAY Derry City
0.43 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
422 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City edged past Shamrock Rovers 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Derry City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 59% of the ball to Derry City's 41%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.43 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.67 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?

Shamrock Rovers 0-1 Derry City in the Ireland - FAI Cumhurbaskanligi Cup on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 40%, draw 26%, Derry City 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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