PSG 1-3 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Mar 2026

PSG
1 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Monaco
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

PSG vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
2.98
Over Pick
74%
1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
11%
6.79
2-3
37%
2.16
4-5
35%
2.38
6+
17%
4.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.64
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
19%
4.23
X/2
5%
13.8
X/X
8%
8.41
2/1
4%
17.3
2/2
7%
9.66
2/X
4%
18.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

PSG v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSG The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.19
Strong Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Bad
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
496 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
34 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

PSG vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Monaco
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.47 xG 1.21
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
566 Passes 263
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2026 PSG PSG 2-2 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco ŞMP
17.02.2026 Monaco Monaco 2-3 HT 2-2 PSG PSG ŞMP
29.11.2025 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
07.02.2025 PSG PSG 4-1 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
05.01.2025 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FRSK
18.12.2024 Monaco Monaco 2-4 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1

PSG 1-3 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
1 - 3
AWAY Monaco
1.62 xG 1.47
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
633 Passes 203
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
53 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW PSG vs Monaco
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monaco got the better of PSG 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSG at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (61%) landed.

On the day, PSG had 72% of the ball to Monaco's 28%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.62 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PSG and 1.33 for Monaco.

PSG vs Monaco Result & Final Score

PSG 1 - 3 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSG vs Monaco Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split PSG 70%, draw 17%, Monaco 13%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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