PSG 2-2 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 25 Feb 2026

PSG
2 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Monaco
📅25/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Champions League – 2025/2026

PSG vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
77%
1.3
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
25%
3.14
Over
75%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
10%
2-3
37%
4-5
35%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

PSG v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSG The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco The Market 15%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.81
1.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.80
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Bad
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
42 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1

PSG vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Monaco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.35 xG 1.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
544 Passes 264
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2026 Monaco Monaco 2-3 HT 2-2 PSG PSG ŞMP
29.11.2025 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
07.02.2025 PSG PSG 4-1 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
05.01.2025 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FRSK
18.12.2024 Monaco Monaco 2-4 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
01.03.2024 Monaco Monaco 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1

PSG 2-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
2 - 2
AWAY Monaco
2.21 xG 1.32
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
661 Passes 210
93% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW PSG vs Monaco
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG and Monaco finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. PSG carried 77% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (59%) came home.

Under the surface, PSG had 73% of the ball to Monaco's 27%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.21 to 1.32.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PSG and 1.00 for Monaco.

PSG vs Monaco Result & Final Score

PSG 2 - 2 Monaco in the Champions League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSG vs Monaco Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split PSG 77%, draw 13%, Monaco 10%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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