Boulogne 4-2 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.92
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
20%
4.62
X/2
12%
7.11
X/X
14%
3.92
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
9%
5.7
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.2
Value flag · 2/X at 14.2 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.23/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.42
-9% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
27.8 Crosses 17.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.73 xG 0.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
361 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2025 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
12.07.2019 Boulogne Boulogne 1-2 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC HAZ
28.08.2015 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
28.01.2012 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
26.08.2011 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
29.05.2009 Boulogne Boulogne 4-0 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
4-2
AWAY Amiens SC
2.43 xG 1.64
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
422 Passes 180
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne got the better of Amiens SC 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 26%) promised a tight game; Boulogne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boulogne had 65% of the ball to Amiens SC's 35%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.43 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boulogne and 0.67 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Amiens SC?

Boulogne 4-2 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 40%, draw 33%, Amiens SC 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boulogne), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
6 Mar 2026
22:00 Stade Lavallois vs Guingamp Analysis →
22:00 Nancy vs Montpellier Analysis →
22:00 Pau vs Bastia Analysis →
22:00 Rodez vs Grenoble Analysis →