Rodez 1-0 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
3.41
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.71
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✓
23%
4.75
X/2
11%
7.34
X/X
11%
4.85
2/1
6%
23.5
2/2
12%
5.33
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.75 — our 23% vs market 16.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.37/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.31
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
26.6 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Grenoble
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 0.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 432
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Grenoble Grenoble 2-1 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
31.01.2025 Grenoble Grenoble 2-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
04.10.2024 Rodez Rodez 2-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
16.03.2024 Rodez Rodez 3-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
25.11.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 2-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
19.05.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez squeezed past Grenoble 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rodez as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rodez and 1.50 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Grenoble?

Rodez 1-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rodez 46%, draw 24%, Grenoble 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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