Stade Lavallois 2-2 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.06
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
8%
6.56
X/2
19%
4.83
X/X
13%
4.0
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.15
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.14/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.12
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.6 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guingamp
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.73
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 474
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.12.2025 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FRK
31.10.2025 Guingamp Guingamp 2-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
29.03.2025 Guingamp Guingamp 2-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
23.08.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
17.05.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
23.09.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
2-2
AWAY Guingamp
2.21 xG 3.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
299 Passes 444
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 47
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Guingamp shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 42% of the ball to Guingamp's 58%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.21 to 3.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.00 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Guingamp?

Stade Lavallois 2-2 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 29%, draw 26%, Guingamp 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5
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