Birmingham City U21 1-1 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
63%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.39
No
30%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
17%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.4pp
63%
Away Win
64%
-0.7pp
70%
BTTS Yes
68%
+2.3pp
30%
BTTS No
32%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.80
+42% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +42%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 12.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham City U21
1-1
AWAY Manchester United U21
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
165 Passes 491
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 and Manchester United U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Manchester United U21 carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (70%) landed while over 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Birmingham City U21 had 33% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 67%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Birmingham City U21 1-1 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 20%, draw 17%, Manchester United U21 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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