Derby County U21 4-2 West Ham United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 6 Mar 2026

Derby County U21
4-2 HT 2-1
West Ham United U21
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2025/2026

Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
15%
4.08
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.9pp
15%
Draw
22%
-6.5pp
58%
Away Win
59%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derby County U21 v West Ham United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
0.82/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-32% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.0 Crosses 12.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY West Ham United U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 328
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2025 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 0-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United U21 West Ham United U21 INGPL2
05.04.2024 West Ham United U21 West Ham United U21 3-2 HT 1-1 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 INGPL2-1

Derby County U21 4-2 West Ham United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
4-2
AWAY West Ham United U21
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
210 Passes 343
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County U21 saw off West Ham United U21 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. West Ham United U21 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 40% of the ball to West Ham United U21's 60%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, West Ham United U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Derby County U21 and 2.00 for West Ham United U21.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21?

Derby County U21 4-2 West Ham United U21 in the INGPL2 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Ham United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 26%, draw 15%, West Ham United U21 58%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (West Ham United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Ham United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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