Nottingham Forest U21 1-2 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.07
Over 2.5
38%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
44%
+17.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
56%
-17.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.56/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.37
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses 13.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Southampton U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 0.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
412 Passes 468
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 INGPL2
12.04.2024 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
1-2
AWAY Southampton U21
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
329 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 nicked a narrow win over Nottingham Forest U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southampton U21 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 52% of the ball to Southampton U21's 48%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Southampton U21 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nottingham Forest U21 and 1.50 for Southampton U21.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Southampton U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 1-2 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 28%, draw 31%, Southampton U21 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton U21), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
6 Mar 2026
22:00 Birmingham City U21 vs Manchester United U21 Analysis →
22:00 Ipswich Town U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21 Analysis →
22:00 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Fulham U21 Analysis →
22:00 Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester City U21 Analysis →
22:00 Norwich City U21 vs Arsenal U21 Analysis →
22:00 Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21 Analysis →