Aston Villa U21 0-4 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 6 Mar 2026

Aston Villa U21
0-4 HT 0-4
Manchester City U21
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
INGPL2 – 2025/2026

Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.4
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
72%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
24%
Over 2.5
76%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.39
No
31%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
46%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-1.3pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.6pp
72%
Away Win
68%
+4.9pp
69%
BTTS Yes
68%
+1.3pp
31%
BTTS No
32%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa U21 v Manchester City U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 72%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.47/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/1.42
+41% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -40%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
214 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.9 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester City U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Manchester City U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
441 Passes 406
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21 4-1 HT 3-0 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 INGPL2

Aston Villa U21 0-4 Manchester City U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
0-4
AWAY Manchester City U21
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
371 Passes 538
84% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 cruised past Aston Villa U21 4-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City U21 as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (76%) landed while both teams to score (69%) missed.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 43% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 57%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Aston Villa U21 0-4 Manchester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 14%, draw 14%, Manchester City U21 72%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
6 Mar 2026
22:00 Birmingham City U21 vs Manchester United U21 Analysis →
22:00 Ipswich Town U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21 Analysis →
22:00 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Fulham U21 Analysis →
22:00 Norwich City U21 vs Arsenal U21 Analysis →
22:00 Nottingham Forest U21 vs Southampton U21 Analysis →
22:00 Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21 Analysis →