Junior vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Junior v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Junior 1-1 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Junior and Alianza Petrolera with a point apiece. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
File this under upsets: a 65% lean on Junior went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 46%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 66% to 34% in Junior's favour, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.10 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Junior against 0.50 for Alianza Petrolera.
Junior vs Alianza Petrolera Result & Final Score
Junior 1 - 1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Junior vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Junior 65%, draw 22%, Alianza Petrolera 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Junior), BTTS No went the other way.