BUL 5-1 Calvary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Mar 2026

BUL
5-1 HT 3-1
Calvary
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
69%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Calvary EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.29/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.87
-39% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Calvary
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
07.01.2026 Calvary 0-1 HT 0-1 BUL BUL UGA
POST-MATCH BUL vs Calvary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL cruised past Calvary 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of BUL vs Calvary?

BUL 5-1 Calvary in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Calvary?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split BUL 68%, draw 21%, Calvary 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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