Lugazi Municipal 0-2 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.85/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.49
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugazi Municipal
1W-0D-2L
AWAY NEC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.01.2026 NEC NEC 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
01.03.2025 NEC NEC 2-0 HT 0-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
30.10.2024 Lugazi Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 NEC NEC UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0-2
AWAY NEC
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC saw off Lugazi Municipal 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 42% of the ball to NEC's 58%, shots finished 3-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, NEC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lugazi Municipal and 1.00 for NEC.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?

Lugazi Municipal 0-2 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 26%, draw 31%, NEC 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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