Kampala City 2-1 Uganda Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Mar 2026

Kampala City
2-1 HT 2-1
Uganda Police
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Kampala City vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.76
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
53%
+10.4pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.0pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kampala City v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.25/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.08
-24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kampala City vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Uganda Police
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.01.2026 Uganda Police Uganda Police 2-0 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
29.04.2025 Kampala City Kampala City 2-1 HT 1-1 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
02.01.2025 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-0 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
15.03.2022 Uganda Police Uganda Police 1-1 HT 1-1 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
10.12.2021 Kampala City Kampala City 3-1 HT 2-1 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs Uganda Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City squeezed past Uganda Police 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kampala City and 1.00 for Uganda Police.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs Uganda Police?

Kampala City 2-1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Uganda Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 63%, draw 19%, Uganda Police 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ BTTS No
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