UPDF vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UPDF v Kitara — Team-Based Signals
UPDF vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
UPDF 1-1 Kitara — Actual Match Statistics
UPDF and Kitara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Kitara at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, UPDF had 46% of the ball to Kitara's 54%, shots finished 11-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kitara led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for UPDF and 2.00 for Kitara.
What was the final score of UPDF vs Kitara?
UPDF 1-1 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UPDF vs Kitara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split UPDF 24%, draw 30%, Kitara 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kitara), BTTS No went the other way.