Las Palmas 1-3 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.57
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
13%
6.24
X/2
13%
5.25
X/X
11%
4.2
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.49
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.19/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.03
+23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
20.1 Crosses 17.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
363 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
04.05.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
25.08.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
14.04.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
26.11.2017 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-2 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
24.02.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-3
AWAY Real Sociedad
1.97 xG 2.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
299 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad beat Las Palmas 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Real Sociedad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 52% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.97 to 2.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad?

Las Palmas 1-3 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 38%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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