Villarreal 0-0 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 6 Apr 2025

Villarreal
0-0 HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.32
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
12%
12.5
X/1
9%
5.38
X/2
11%
6.56
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.53
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Villarreal v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.90/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.20
+41% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.2 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.64 xG 1.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
434 Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
14.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
05.11.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 2-3 HT 0-3 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
13.05.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 5-1 HT 2-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
30.10.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
09.04.2022 Villarreal Villarreal 1-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Villarreal 0-0 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
0-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
2.08 xG 0.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
416 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Villarreal had 57% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 43%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.08 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villarreal and 1.50 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao?

Villarreal 0-0 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 38%, draw 28%, Athletic Bilbao 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villarreal), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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