Valladolid 0-4 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
13%
5.74
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.28
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
14%
7.99
X/2
11%
4.23
X/X
10%
3.63
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.78
2/X
13%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.9pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.17/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.15
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
20.7 Crosses 20.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Getafe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 204
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
04.06.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
30.11.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe HAZ
01.10.2022 Getafe Getafe 2-3 HT 2-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
06.03.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 2-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
02.01.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
0-4
AWAY Getafe
0.61 xG 1.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
352 Passes 353
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe cruised past Valladolid 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Getafe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Valladolid had 50% of the ball to Getafe's 50%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.61 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valladolid and 0.83 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Getafe?

Valladolid 0-4 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 28%, draw 30%, Getafe 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Getafe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Getafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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