Estepona 1-3 Antoniano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Antoniano EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.06/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.19
-24% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Antoniano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Antoniano Antoniano 2-1 HT 2-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
10.12.2023 Estepona Estepona 3-0 HT 1-0 Antoniano Antoniano İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-3
AWAY Antoniano
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Antoniano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antoniano got the better of Estepona 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Estepona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estepona had 56% of the ball to Antoniano's 44%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estepona and 1.00 for Antoniano.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Antoniano?

Estepona 1-3 Antoniano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Antoniano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estepona 46%, draw 25%, Antoniano 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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