Penya Encarnada 2-2 UE Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
12%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.0pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-13.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 75%
+18% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
0.74/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.65
+40% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
0W-2D-4L
AWAY UE Santa Coloma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 2-0 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
27.10.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 2-1 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
13.04.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
17.03.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada ANDK
18.02.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
25.11.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-2 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Encarnada
2-2
AWAY UE Santa Coloma
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada and UE Santa Coloma shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. UE Santa Coloma carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Penya Encarnada had 51% of the ball to UE Santa Coloma's 49%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Penya Encarnada and 1.33 for UE Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma?

Penya Encarnada 2-2 UE Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 19%, draw 25%, UE Santa Coloma 57%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✗ BTTS No
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