Academico Viseu vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academico Viseu v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Academico Viseu vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Academico Viseu
POR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Academico Viseu
POR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Mafra
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Academico Viseu
POR2
Academico Viseu 3-1 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Academico Viseu got the better of Mafra 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Academico Viseu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Academico Viseu had 58% of the ball to Mafra's 42%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 2.55 to 1.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academico Viseu and 0.67 for Mafra.
What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Mafra?
Academico Viseu 3-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 48%, draw 28%, Mafra 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.