Bohemians 1-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
8.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.46
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
10%
21.8
X/1
26%
3.69
X/2
4%
19.6
X/X
7%
7.49
2/1
10%
23.1
2/2
7%
17.55
2/X
4%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-7.8pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.43/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.93
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 66%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.5 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.81 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
322 Passes 248
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2026 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
19.09.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
20.06.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
02.05.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 1-2 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
07.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
25.10.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-1
AWAY Waterford FC
2.50 xG 0.17
74% Ball Possession 26%
24 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 0
516 Passes 133
86% Pass Accuracy 59%
35 Box Touches 5
46 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians and Waterford FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bohemians at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bohemians had 74% of the ball to Waterford FC's 26%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.50 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bohemians and 1.00 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Bohemians 1-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 65%, draw 20%, Waterford FC 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bohemians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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