Dundalk 2-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.79
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
10%
7.45
X/2
12%
4.49
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.66
2/X
10%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 52%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.28/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.82
+21% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
213 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.5 Crosses 22.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St Patricks
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 1.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
238 Passes 296
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2026 St Patricks St Patricks 4-0 HT 2-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
05.09.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 1-2 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
03.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-3 HT 2-3 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
12.04.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
08.03.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
22.09.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
2-0
AWAY St Patricks
0.53 xG 1.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 11
149 Passes 362
56% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk beat St Patricks 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Dundalk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundalk had 35% of the ball to St Patricks's 65%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.53 to 1.50 — on chances, St Patricks could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundalk and 2.00 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs St Patricks?

Dundalk 2-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 32%, draw 27%, St Patricks 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St Patricks), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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