Shamrock Rovers 3-2 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.16
6+ Goals
7%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 39% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.57
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
18%
4.3
X/2
8%
8.03
X/X
12%
4.1
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
9%
6.74
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.33/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.96
+12% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
17.6 Crosses 12.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
416 Passes 351
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2026 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-2 HT 2-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.10.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
13.06.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
25.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
28.02.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.10.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3-2
AWAY Shelbourne
1.20 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
430 Passes 423
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers squeezed past Shelbourne 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 50% of the ball to Shelbourne's 50%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.17 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?

Shamrock Rovers 3-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Shelbourne 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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