St Patricks 4-0 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.63
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.31
X/2
13%
7.76
X/X
9%
4.12
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
12%
6.49
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.55/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.97
+9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.8 Crosses 22.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dundalk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
273 Passes 229
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.09.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 1-2 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
03.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-3 HT 2-3 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
12.04.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
08.03.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
22.09.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
26.06.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
4-0
AWAY Dundalk
1.53 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
321 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks ran out comfortable winners over Dundalk 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, St Patricks had 50% of the ball to Dundalk's 50%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.53 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St Patricks and 1.00 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Dundalk?

St Patricks 4-0 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 50%, draw 20%, Dundalk 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
27 Feb 2026
22:45 Derry City vs Waterford FC Analysis →
22:45 Drogheda United vs Shelbourne Analysis →
22:45 Galway United vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
23:00 Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →