Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derry City v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 4-2 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City got the better of Waterford FC 4-2. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%) landed.
On the day, possession split 66% to 34% in Derry City's favour, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.61 to 2.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Derry City against 1.17 for Waterford FC.
Derry City vs Waterford FC Result & Final Score
Derry City 4 - 2 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Derry City 67%, draw 19%, Waterford FC 14%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.