Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 4-2 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City got the better of Waterford FC 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Derry City had 66% of the ball to Waterford FC's 34%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.61 to 2.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Derry City and 1.17 for Waterford FC.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Waterford FC?
Derry City 4-2 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Waterford FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Derry City 63%, draw 19%, Waterford FC 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.