Drogheda United 1-2 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
24.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.29
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
8%
6.57
X/2
15%
4.64
X/X
12%
3.92
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
22%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.11/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.84
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
227 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.3 Crosses 19.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.35 xG 1.46
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
138 Passes 574
58% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
19.05.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
18.04.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 2-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
07.03.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.02.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRSK
25.10.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-2
AWAY Shelbourne
1.39 xG 2.11
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
196 Passes 441
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Drogheda United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Drogheda United had 36% of the ball to Shelbourne's 64%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.39 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drogheda United and 1.17 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Drogheda United 1-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 29%, draw 27%, Shelbourne 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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