Xelaju MC 1-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
12%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
57%
+9.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
12%
Away Win
18%
-5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
2.16/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.43
+38% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Malacateco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2026 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
29.09.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-0 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
20.07.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
30.01.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
18.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC squeezed past Malacateco 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.67 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Malacateco?

Xelaju MC 1-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 66%, draw 21%, Malacateco 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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