Malacateco 0-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -13%
1.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.00
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.01.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
18.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
18.02.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.01.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
04.09.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
0-1
AWAY Xelaju MC
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC edged past Malacateco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malacateco at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Malacateco had 62% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 38%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malacateco and 0.67 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Xelaju MC?

Malacateco 0-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 46%, draw 25%, Xelaju MC 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Malacateco), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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