Xelaju MC 3-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.12/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.77
+18% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Malacateco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
30.01.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
18.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
18.02.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.01.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC ran out comfortable winners over Malacateco 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Malacateco?

Xelaju MC 3-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 62%, draw 22%, Malacateco 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5
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