Nieciecza 3-2 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Apr 2026

Nieciecza
3-2 HT 2-0
Piast Gliwice
📅06/04/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.33
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.8
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
9%
6.39
X/2
15%
5.19
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
14%
3.15
2/X
10%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.8 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nieciecza v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.25/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.31
-17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.8 Crosses 19.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.17 xG 1.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 4-2 HT 1-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
31.10.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POLK
14.05.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
26.11.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
19.05.2018 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 4-0 HT 2-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
07.04.2018 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL

Nieciecza 3-2 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
3-2
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.39 xG 2.01
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
185 Passes 362
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza edged past Piast Gliwice 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Nieciecza made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Nieciecza had 38% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 62%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 1.39 to 2.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Piast Gliwice.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nieciecza and 2.17 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice?

Nieciecza 3-2 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 34%, draw 26%, Piast Gliwice 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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