Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.04
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
15%
5.24
X/2
8%
6.66
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
6%
23.5
2/2
15%
4.41
2/X
9%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.56/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.52
-23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
25.5 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.78 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-2 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
24.05.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-3 HT 0-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
02.12.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
02.02.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
1-1
AWAY Motor Lublin
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Radomiak Radom at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 48% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 52%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Motor Lublin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.75 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 45%, draw 26%, Motor Lublin 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radomiak Radom), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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