Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lechia Gdansk v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals
Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Lechia Gdansk
POL
0-1
HT 0-1
Korona Kielce
POL
1-2
HT 0-1
Lechia Gdansk
POL
Lechia Gdansk 4-2 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics
Lechia Gdansk got the better of Korona Kielce 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lechia Gdansk as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 52% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 48%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 3.56 to 1.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 1.33 for Korona Kielce.
What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce?
Lechia Gdansk 4-2 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 49%, draw 22%, Korona Kielce 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.