Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.6pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
1.90/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.22
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 82%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
22.7 Crosses 21.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
284 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POLK
28.09.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
02.05.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-4 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
28.03.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
20.09.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
02.03.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
0-2
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.80 xG 2.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
361 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova saw off Pogon Szczecin 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 58% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 42%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.80 to 2.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.17 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Varşova?

Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 41%, draw 28%, Legia Varşova 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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