JEF United 1-2 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.91
Over
51%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.67
No
48%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.3
2-3
43%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.33
6+
9%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME JEF United The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija The Market 37%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.34 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.09
1.35 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.18
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
261 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.5 Crosses 14.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
07.06.2023 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JPK
29.04.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
18.06.2022 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
16.04.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
17.10.2021 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
1-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
357 Passes 180
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW JEF United vs Omiya Ardija
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Omiya Ardija squeezed past JEF United 2-1 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

We leaned JEF United at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 52%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.67, roughly 60%.

On the day, possession split 64% to 36% in JEF United's favour, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for JEF United against 1.17 for Omiya Ardija.

JEF United vs Omiya Ardija Result & Final Score

JEF United 1-2 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

JEF United vs Omiya Ardija Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JEF United 42%, draw 27%, Omiya Ardija 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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