Tokushima Vortis 0-1 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2025

Tokushima Vortis
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Sagan Tosu
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒09:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.32
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
27%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
69%
1.45
Over
31%
2.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.21
No
57%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
40%
1.96
2-3
47%
1.8
4-5
12%
6.15
6+
1%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
25%
2/1
2%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Tokushima Vortis v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tokushima Vortis The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY Sagan Tosu The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1

Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.34 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
328 Passes 478
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.10.2021 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 3-0 HT 2-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
01.05.2021 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP
11.07.2018 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 3-1 HT 2-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JPK
22.11.2014 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
01.03.2014 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 5-0 HT 2-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP

Tokushima Vortis 0-1 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
0 - 1
AWAY Sagan Tosu
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
411 Passes 297
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sagan Tosu nicked a narrow win over Tokushima Vortis 1-0 on the road.

The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 35% / 27%); Sagan Tosu picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Tokushima Vortis had 57% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 43%, shots finished 19-14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 2.20 for Sagan Tosu.

Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu Result & Final Score

Tokushima Vortis 0 - 1 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 39%, draw 35%, Sagan Tosu 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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