Campobasso 1-1 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 33% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.55/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.19
+15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Campobasso
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Pineto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2026 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 1-0 Campobasso Campobasso İTC
13.09.2025 Campobasso Campobasso 0-1 HT 0-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
02.03.2025 Campobasso Campobasso 1-3 HT 1-2 Pineto Pineto İTC
21.10.2024 Pineto Pineto 0-1 HT 0-0 Campobasso Campobasso İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
1-1
AWAY Pineto
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso and Pineto shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Campobasso at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Campobasso had 54% of the ball to Pineto's 46%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pineto led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Campobasso and 1.25 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Pineto?

Campobasso 1-1 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 43%, draw 26%, Pineto 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Campobasso), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Campobasso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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