Lecco 2-1 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.32/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.81
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
4W-1D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2026 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
28.09.2025 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
31.03.2025 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.11.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
23.02.2022 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
11.09.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
2-1
AWAY GIANA Erminio
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecco vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco squeezed past GIANA Erminio 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lecco as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecco had 45% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 55%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecco had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lecco and 0.17 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Lecco vs GIANA Erminio?

Lecco 2-1 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lecco 41%, draw 28%, GIANA Erminio 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5
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