Cosenza Calcio 1-5 Casarano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Casarano EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.54
+39% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Casarano
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Casarano Casarano 2-1 HT 2-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
08.11.2025 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 4-1 HT 1-0 Casarano Casarano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-5
AWAY Casarano
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Casarano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano swept aside Cosenza Calcio 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cosenza Calcio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 48% of the ball to Casarano's 52%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.50 for Casarano.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Casarano?

Cosenza Calcio 1-5 Casarano in the Italy - Serie C on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Casarano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 45%, draw 24%, Casarano 30%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ BTTS Yes
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