Cittadella 1-0 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.58/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.13
+9% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2026 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-2 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTC
25.09.2025 Cittadella Cittadella 0-1 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-0
AWAY Lumezzane
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella squeezed past Lumezzane 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cittadella as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cittadella had 34% of the ball to Lumezzane's 66%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cittadella and 1.00 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Lumezzane?

Cittadella 1-0 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 45%, draw 26%, Lumezzane 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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