Sagan Tosu 4-0 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 26%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.99
-32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
352 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.03.2026 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-2 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
4-0
AWAY Gainare Tottori
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
358 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sagan Tosu ran out comfortable winners over Gainare Tottori 4-0 in the JAP2-3 on 6 May 2026. Half-time: 3-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 50% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 50%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori?

Sagan Tosu 4-0 Gainare Tottori in the JAP2-3 on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 49%, draw 26%, Gainare Tottori 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagan Tosu), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagan Tosu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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