Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 20.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
73%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 12%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.48
+58% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 18.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 440
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-2 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP2-3
27.09.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-2 HT 3-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
20.04.2025 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-1 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
15.09.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
18.05.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
29.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-0
AWAY Ryukyu
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
343 Passes 206
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki edged past Ryukyu 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tegevajaro Miyazaki as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 59% of the ball to Ryukyu's 41%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.17 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 Ryukyu in the JAP2-3 on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 69%, draw 22%, Ryukyu 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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