Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-2 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.69/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.51
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
256 Passes 431
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-1 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
15.09.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
18.05.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
29.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
24.06.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-3 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
4-2
AWAY Ryukyu
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
342 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki beat Ryukyu 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tegevajaro Miyazaki as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 47% of the ball to Ryukyu's 53%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.00 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-2 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 52%, draw 24%, Ryukyu 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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