Kagoshima United 0-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 30%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.79
+61% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Oita Trinita
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
177 Passes 319
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2-3
22.06.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 3-0 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
12.06.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JPK
20.03.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-0 HT 3-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
161 Passes 203
59% Pass Accuracy 62%
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita edged past Kagoshima United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kagoshima United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 46% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 54%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.00 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

Kagoshima United 0-1 Oita Trinita in the JAP2-3 on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 42%, draw 26%, Oita Trinita 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kagoshima United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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