Kagoshima United 3-0 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 37%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.64/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.31
+27% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Oita Trinita
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
12.06.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JPK
20.03.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-0 HT 3-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
3-0
AWAY Oita Trinita
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United cruised past Oita Trinita 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Kagoshima United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 60% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 40%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kagoshima United and 2.00 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

Kagoshima United 3-0 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 39%, draw 24%, Oita Trinita 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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