Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.35/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.90
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Iwaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 1-2 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
15.07.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
05.03.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0-3
AWAY Iwaki
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki cruised past Renofa Yamaguchi 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Renofa Yamaguchi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 44% of the ball to Iwaki's 56%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 0.33 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Iwaki?

Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 41%, draw 26%, Iwaki 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5
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